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Experts follow the Multivariate ENSO Index (MEI) to track the El Niño/La Niña phenomenon, which describes the cyclical shifts in water temperature between the Eastern and Western Pacific Oceans. The current MEI value and trend signals an incipient La Niña event. Edible oil producers and consumers recall the last major La Niña in 2010-2011. The weather event dumped excess precipitation on oil palm plantations in Malaysia and Indonesia, which together account for 80% of the world’s production. The extra rain resulted in crop damage, and higher prices for cooking oils worldwide. We encourage vegoil producers, traders, and consumers to watch Gro Intelligence to monitor the growing impact of the likely La Niña event of 2017-2018.

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Where China goes, so does global agriculture. China’s burgeoning middle class has led to soaring demand for protein that was met by Brazil. In the process, Brazil became a first-rank agricultural power. Global markets rise and fall on the changing tastes of Chinese consumers.

For November, we will use data in Gro, including the recently integrated Chinese Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (CASDE), to analyze recent agricultural trends in China. From pork consumption to land reform, China’s growth can be a boon or a curse for global markets, and sometimes both.

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Egypt has the largest population in the Arab world, and imports the most wheat of any country. The General Authority for Supply Commodities (GASC) of the Ministry of Supply and Internal Trade of Egypt (MoSIT) alone is the world’s biggest wheat purchaser. Trade participants watch GASC like hawks because any change in their policy can have dramatic effects on global markets.

Egypt’s enormous bread demand stems from a generous subsidy program that started just after World War Two and has remained ever since. Any hint of a reduction in the bread subsidy leads to immediate and widespread unrest. This has forced Egypt’s government to maintain a fixed price of 5 piasters/loaf (around $0.01 current US) since 1989. For perspective, the price on the open market is 36 piasters, so the subsidy amounts to 86%. Russia and Ukraine supply most of Egypt’s import demand through the Black Sea.

As the Egyptian wheat situation changes frequently, we recommend that wheat traders and other interested parties keep track of relevant trade and geospatial data in Gro.

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We are excited to announce Gro Intelligence’s Series A2 financing round led by TPG Growth, the middle market and growth equity platform of alternative asset firm TPG. Participants include Data Collective as well as a collection of strategic family offices who have been, and continue to be, a critical part of the Gro journey since our earliest days. This is a really important moment for Gro - not just because of the funding itself, but due to the combination of skills, insight and experience that participants bring to the table. 

The combination of working with TPG Growth and Data Collective is particularly powerful for us. TPG Growth have an impressive track record of partnering with and scaling global businesses, while Data Collective offers extensive experience investing in all stages of big data, deep compute, and technology infrastructure companies that are disrupting traditional industries. An impressive mix of strategic private family offices from all over the world that understand Gro, our clients and the markets we serve also remain an integral part of our future.

Gro has been able to bring to market a product that is truly the first of its kind because we invested the time and resources to build and develop a team made up of domain experts in agriculture markets, plant science, and geospatial science along with world class product and engineering teams.

We can’t wait to use this investment into Gro to further expand our core team and support our mission of becoming the leading provider of insights and predictive analytics to users across the global agricultural industry.

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Brazilian coffee farmers have moved about a third of their crop north to Minas Gerais after a series of damaging frosts in the 1990s and 2000s. Unfortunately, that state can suffer from heat and drought, which currently appears to be the case. Aggregated Gro geospatial data indicate Minas is hotter than normal for this time of year, and both vegetation greenness (NDVI) and evapotranspiration anomalies show high levels of plant stress. These indications lend credence to industry warnings about risk to this year’s Brazil coffee crop. With hot and dry weather forecasts pushing London Robusta futures to their highest prices in a month, it will pay for coffee market players to follow the situation with data and analytics in Gro.

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Officials from the United Kingdom and the European Union made their first noteworthy agreement on post-Brexit trade last weekend. They confirmed that the parties will split WTO import quotas based on import patterns for respective farm goods. The proposed deal will not cover trade between the UK and EU, which is still deadlocked in Brussels. Rather, it will affect trade between the two and all other WTO members, whose products often face steep tariffs upon entering the EU’s single market. The agreement will still need to be confirmed with the WTO, too.

Directly following the news, major global ag producers from outside of the EU lobbied the WTO to reject any such agreement. Countries such as Argentina, Brazil, Canada, New Zealand, and the US, among other large exporters, argued that such a deal would in fact leave them “...worse off, nor fully honor the existing [WTO] access commitment.” Any division of tariff quotas would be proportional to the EU and the UK’s respective import levels, measured over a three-year period. And these large ag exporters are implicitly arguing that any split will not equal the whole as it is now. The flexibility of exporters dealing with a single quota followed by unfettered access to the EU’s single market will disappear and won’t be replaced by other substantive advantages.

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US wheat farmers were already having a tough time during 2017. Now, according to a range of sources including the UN and the USDA, 2018 appears as though it will be even worse for US wheat. Although producer prices have risen from 20-year lows recorded late last year, US farmers are continuing to convert acreage to higher-returning soybeans and corn crops. To make matters worse for wheat farmers, historically poor soil moisture across the midwest delayed winter wheat plantings by multiple weeks. While conditions have since improved, the abbreviated planting window is likely to further threaten US production volumes next year.

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At TEDGlobal 2017, Sara Menker discusses a 214 trillion calorie gap per year by 2027. Additional analysis and insights into our methodology can be found here.

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India’s ambitious growth plan over the next three decades centers on agriculture. India is the world’s largest cotton and the second-largest wheat and rice producer. In 2016, India became the second largest fruit producer in the world. The country also exported $1.24 billion in raw sugar, $1.1 billion in crustaceans, and $742 million in tea in 2016. Rice exports totaled $6.5 billion.

India Is a Leading Agriculture Producer

 

The agricultural sector accounts for 15% of India’s GDP and contributes just under 5% of value added growth to the economy. Even with agriculture already contributing so much to India’s economy, many experts believe the country has yet to fully capitalize on its potential. With lofty goals and expectations—including the doubling of its economy between 2010 and 2020, the doubling of its middle class between 2015 and 2020, and the world’s youngest population in 10 years—India’s next moves will warrant careful scrutiny.

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Russia’s farmers begin to plant their winter wheat crop in September for harvest the following spring. Current satellite measurement of evapotranspiration indicates conditions suitable for successful planting, and if regional weather continues to cooperate, the world will face a bumper Russian crop in 2018. The USDA already expects a record crop and record exports, but local commentators are calling for an even larger surplus. Anecdotally, they say that Russian farmers have taken advantage of low costs to plant greater acreage than previously. If their 2018 predictions pan out, wheat farmers worldwide will have to compete with a wave of cheap Black Sea exports in the spring and summer next year. Watch weather conditions on Gro as Russian wheat goes into dormancy for the winter, and again when it emerges next year.

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We constantly find new data sources to improve Gro, our flagship platform. We’ve recently incorporated data from Brazil’s Ministry of Development, Industry and Foreign Trade (MDIC). The new data from Brazil is especially important considering the country’s role as a global agricultural power. With MDIC data, you can gain useful insights into Brazil’s vast agricultural trade.

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UK Wheat Prices Set to Rise
25 September 2017

 

It has been a volatile season for wheat in the United Kingdom. First, prices rallied on a historic heat wave, which contributed to the country’s fourth warmest summer on record. Later, prices receded when strong rains replenished water-starved fields, as exemplified by evapotranspiration anomalies returning to near normal levels. Yet more recently, prices have rebounded on news that the summer’s abnormal weather has negatively impacted wheat quality and milling yields. Coupled with increased consumer and ethanol demand domestically, the UK is expected become a net importer for only the second time in two decades.

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Gro Intelligence Privacy Policy

This Privacy Policy describes the policies and procedures of Gro Intelligence, Inc. (“we”, “our” or “us”) on the collection, use and disclosure of your information on www.gro-intelligence.com (the “Site”) and the services, features, content or applications we offer (collectively with the Site, the “Services”). We receive information about you from your use of the Services generally. When you use the Services, you are consenting to the collection, transfer, manipulation, storage, disclosure and other uses of your information as described in this Privacy Policy.

What Does This Privacy Policy Cover?

This Privacy Policy covers the treatment of personally identifiable information (“Personal Information”) gathered when you are using or accessing the Services. This Privacy Policy also covers our treatment of any Personal Information that our business partners share with us or that we share with our business partners.

This Privacy Policy does not apply to the practices of third parties that we do not own or control, including but not limited to any third party websites, services and applications (“Third Party Services”) that you elect to access through the Service or to individuals that we do not manage or employ. While we attempt to facilitate access only to those Third Party Services that share our respect for your privacy, we cannot take responsibility for the content or privacy policies of those Third Party Services. We encourage you to carefully review the privacy policies of any Third Party Services you access.

What Information Do We Collect?

The information we gather enables us to personalize, improve and continue to operate the Services. We collect the following types of information from our users.

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· We automatically receive and record information from your web browser when you interact with the Services, including your IP address and cookie information. This information is used for fighting spam/malware and also to facilitate collection of data concerning your interaction with the Services (e.g., what links you have clicked on).

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We collect statistical information about how users collectively use the Services (“Aggregate Information”). Some of this information may be derived from Personal Information. This statistical information is not Personal Information and cannot be tied back to you or your web browser.

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We share Aggregate Information with our partners, service providers and other persons with whom we conduct business. We share this type of statistical data so that our partners can understand how and how often people use our Services and their services or websites, which facilitates improving both their services and how our Services interface with them. In addition, these third parties may share with us non-private, aggregated or otherwise non Personal Information about you that they have independently developed or acquired.

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We employ and contract with people and other entities that perform certain tasks on our behalf and who are under our control (our “Agents”). We may need to share Personal Information with our Agents in order to provide products or services to you. Unless we tell you differently, our Agents do not have any right to use Personal Information or other information we share with them beyond what is necessary to assist us. You hereby consent to our sharing of Personal Information with our Agents.

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In some cases, we may choose to buy or sell assets. In these types of transactions, user information is typically one of the transferred business assets. Moreover, if we, or substantially all of our assets, were acquired, or if we go out of business or enter bankruptcy, user information would be one of the assets that is transferred or acquired by a third party. You acknowledge that such transfers may occur, and that any acquirer of us or our assets may continue to use your Personal Information as set forth in this policy.

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Information We Share With Your Consent:

Except as set forth above, you will be notified when your Personal Information may be shared with third parties, and will be able to prevent the sharing of this information.

Is Information About Me Secure?

We store all of our information, including your IP address information, using industry-standard techniques. We do not guarantee or warrant that such techniques will prevent unauthorized access to information about you that we store, Personal Information or otherwise.

What Information of Mine Can I Access?

You can access and delete cookies through your web browser settings.

California Privacy Rights: Under California Civil Code sections 1798.83-1798.84, California residents are entitled to ask us for a notice identifying the categories of personal customer information which we share with our affiliates and/or third parties for marketing purposes, and providing contact information for such affiliates and/or third parties. If you are a California resident and would like a copy of this notice, please submit a written request to the following address: 12 E 49th Street, 11th Floor, New York, NY 10017

What Happens When There Are Changes to this Privacy Policy?

We may amend this Privacy Policy from time to time. Use of information we collect now is subject to the Privacy Policy in effect at the time such information is used. If we make changes in the way we collect or use information, we will notify you by posting an announcement on the Services or sending you an email. A user is bound by any changes to the Privacy Policy when he or she uses the Services after such changes have been first posted.

What If I Have Questions or Concerns?

If you have any questions or concerns regarding privacy using the Services, please send us a detailed message to support@gro-intelligence.com. We will make every effort to resolve your concerns.

Effective Date: March 11, 2014

 

Gro Intelligence Terms of Service

Please read these Terms of Service (collectively with Gro Intelligence’s Privacy Policy, the “Terms of Service”) fully and carefully before using www.gro-intelligence.com (the “Site”) and the services, features, content or applications offered by Gro Intelligence, Inc. (“we”, “us” or “our”) (together with the Site, the “Services”). These Terms of Service set forth the legally binding terms and conditions for your use of the Site and the Services.

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a. By using the Services in any manner, including but not limited to visiting or browsing the Site, you agree to these Terms of Service and all other operating rules, policies and procedures that may be published from time to time on the Site by us, each of which is incorporated by reference and each of which may be updated from time to time without notice to you.

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viii. modify, translate, or otherwise create derivative works of any part of the Services; or

ix. copy, rent, lease, distribute, or otherwise transfer any of the rights that you receive hereunder.

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i. satisfy any applicable law, regulation, legal process or governmental request;

ii. enforce these Terms of Service, including investigation of potential violations hereof;

iii. detect, prevent, or otherwise address fraud, security or technical issues;

iv. respond to user support requests; or

v. protect the rights, property or safety of us, our users and the public.

4. Third Party Services. The Services may permit you to link to other websites, services or resources on the Internet, and other websites, services or resources may contain links to the Services. When you access third party resources on the Internet, you do so at your own risk. These other resources are not under our control, and you acknowledge that we are not responsible or liable for the content, functions, accuracy, legality, appropriateness or any other aspect of such websites or resources. The inclusion of any such link does not imply our endorsement or any association between us and their operators. You further acknowledge and agree that we shall not be responsible or liable, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss caused or alleged to be caused by or in connection with the use of or reliance on any such content, goods or services available on or through any such website or resource.

5. Termination. We may terminate your access to all or any part of the Services at any time, with or without cause, with or without notice, effective immediately. All provisions of these Terms of Service which by their nature should survive termination shall survive termination, including, without limitation, ownership provisions, warranty disclaimers, indemnity and limitations of liability.

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h. Headings. The section and paragraph headings in these Terms of Service are for convenience only and shall not affect their interpretation.

Contact. You may contact us at the following address: 12 E 49th Street, 11th Floor, New York, NY 10017.