Digital Yield Tour 2020

A look at growing conditions and estimated yields for this year’s US corn and soybean crops

Overview

Gro and DTN have again partnered to bring you a digital crop yield tour assessing conditions and yields in key growing areas prior to the 2020 harvest in the United States. 

The digital crop tour is powered by Gro’s US Corn and US Soy yield models and leverages the environmental data on the Gro platform, including real-time indicators of vegetation health and environmental and climate anomalies that can affect crop yields. 

This toolkit collects the Gro displays used in the Gro/DTN Digital Yield Tour, and related crop monitors that provide daily updates on growing conditions and yield impact throughout the growing season. 

Sign up for a free Gro account to receive daily updates and get access to our full suite of crop monitors for the US, or head to DTN’s website for on-the-ground coverage, including interviews with farmers and commentary by DTN’s team of experienced reporters and agricultural meteorologists.

Day 1

Nebraska, South Dakota & North Dakota

Recent rains lifted South Dakota's good-to-excellent crop conditions to well above average at 86%, especially in the East. Gro estimates corn yield at 174.43 bpa, a jump from last year's 144 bpa USDA final. Soy yields are also up, at 49.2 bpa. Nebraska is forecast heading for record yields, with corn at 195.27 bpa and soy at 63.17 bpa. North Dakota is projected to have the highest prevent-plant area at 937,000 acres, most of that in corn.

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Day 2

Kansas & Missouri

Day 2 finds more corn and soybean production on track for record or near-record crops. Gro’s corn yield models show a statewide average of 182 bpa for Missouri, just four bushels shy of a record, and 161 bpa for Kansas, a potential new record high. Soy estimates are 52.2 bpa in Missouri and 48 bpa in Kansas. While a drier forecast for western Kansas could still trim yields there, eastern Kansas and much of Missouri look set to finish the season well.

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Day 3

Iowa, Minnesota & Wisconsin

A derecho windstorm swept across nearly 14 million acres of Iowa corn and soybeans this week, and Gro is continuing to calculate the extent of production loss. Meanwhile, Minnesota and Wisconsin are on track for record corn yields of 199.8 bpa and 186.3 bpa, respectively. Gro estimates Iowa corn yield of 197.6 bpa, versus USDA’s first statewide estimate of 202 bpa, though neither estimate reflects derecho impact. 

 

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Day 4

Illinois, Indiana & Ohio

The tour’s above-average crop trend continues. Gro forecasts Illinois corn yields at 200.3 bpa, 7 bpa below USDA estimate but well ahead of 2019’s waterlogged crop. Timely rains helped Indiana and Ohio overcome early troubles, and corn yields are seen hitting records of 190.4 bpa and 175.8 bpa, respectively. Yield forecasts could change as Gro calculates the impact of this week’s derecho windstorm, which rolled over some of the region’s most promising fields.

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Day 5

National Production & State Comparison

US crop yields could set new records in 2020. Gro is forecasting corn at 183.9 bpa and soybeans at 53.1 bpa. That’s 2.1 bpa higher than USDA's August corn estimate, and 0.2 bpa below USDA for soy. Still unknown is the damage from the Aug. 10 derecho. Gro calculates the windstorm slammed 33.7 million acres across Iowa, Illinois, and Indiana, but is still figuring the impact on crops. In the past three years, Gro's final corn forecast, published in November, has been within 3 bpa of USDA's final January number, and within 1 bpa for soy.

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