All Gro Analytics, Models & Frameworks

Yield Forecast

China Wheat Yield Forecast Model

Gro’s China Wheat Yield Forecast Model employs two models to derive forecasts of province-level wheat yield.

READ MORE
Yield Forecast

Canada Spring Wheat Yield Forecast Model

Gro’s Canada Spring Wheat Yield Forecast Model provides daily yield forecasts across the largest wheat-producing provinces.

READ MORE
Price

Futures Spread App

The Futures Spread App shows current and historical commodity calendar spread activity.

READ MORE
Price

US Retail and Wholesale Volatility Adjusted Price Index

This Index extracts price responses to current market factors

READ MORE
Price

US Retail and Wholesale Price Volatility Indices

Prices of fresh produce and meat fluctuate widely. Gro created the retail and wholesale price volatility indices to track an array of fruits and vegetables.

READ MORE
Price

US Fresh Produce Cash Price Browser

The US Fresh Produce Cash Price Browser monitors daily price movements of dozens of fresh produce products in locations across the United States.

READ MORE
Price

China Cash Price Browser

The China Cash Price Browser monitors the daily price movements of dozens of commodities in locations across China.

READ MORE
Supply & Demand

Trade Flow Matrix

The Trade Flow Matrix shows a table of monthly import and export data for all regional combinations and provides the ability to chart historical trade flows. It is available for soybeans, corn, and wheat.

READ MORE
Supply & Demand

Gro Livestock Locations Tool

The Gro Livestock Locations Tool allows users to quickly see environmental and crop-market conditions around some 300 livestock facilities across the United States. Users can select the facilities related to their operations and view data on such measures as temperature, drought, and corn or soybean yields. The radius around each facility can be adjusted and easily compared to historical data using the tool’s charting feature.

READ MORE
Supply & Demand

China Corn Balance Sheet

The Gro China Corn Balance Sheet lets users compare historical and current balance sheet estimates for corn in China from several sources.

READ MORE
Climate & Weather

Gro Climate Change Index (by Scenario)

The Gro Climate Change Index comprises a set of climate model forecasts for different IPCC-compliant Representative Carbon Pathway (RCP) scenarios.

READ MORE
Climate & Weather

Climate Variation Index

Gro’s Climate Variation Index measures the volatility of temperature and precipitation over the course of a year in a given region.

READ MORE
Climate & Weather

Adverse Impact Index

To understand the impact of changing or adding an ingredient, the Adverse Impact Index ranks the relative economic and dietary importance of specific crops to an average individual within a country to measure how a community might be adversely affected by reductions in global supplies.

READ MORE
Climate & Weather

Gro Explorer App

Gro Explorer app gives a quick and up-to-date overview of growing conditions, weather, and climate anywhere in the world.

READ MORE
Price

US Crop Budgets App

Gro’s Crop Budgets App provides insights into the economics behind producers’ planting decisions. The app combines current estimates and historical data from multiple data sources on revenues, costs, and returns to provide budget estimates for major crops at the national, state, and regional levels. Gro users can also input their own values to perform customized analyses. At a glance, the app shows Gro users what economic calculations US farmers are performing in the current season. The app combines crop budget data from the USDA ERS and enhances it by linking in Gro’s latest crop yield model forecasts. We have also included new crop cash prices to make the app more current, helping users estimate operating returns for US farmers planting corn, soybeans, wheat, and cotton. We also have state level analysis available with data from North Dakota State University and Iowa State University.

READ MORE
Price

India Retail Price Volatility Indices

To supplement Gro’s India Food Price Inflation Index, we created the India Retail Price Volatility Indices. The indices calculate the annualized volatility with a 3-year lookback for 17 different national price series in India, which aggregate hundreds of local prices from India’s Department of Agriculture and Cooperation. These volatility series help track an item's realized volatility over time and permit comparisons between items.

READ MORE
Price

India Food Price Inflation Index

Gro's India Food Price Inflation Index tracks food prices weighted by consumption spending. The index updates weekly and provides real-time tracking of inflation as experienced by the Indian consumer. The index comprises 17 national price series for India. These series aggregate hundreds of local prices from India’s Department of Agriculture and Cooperation. The India Food Price Inflation Index can be used with Gro’s India Retail Price Volatility Indices to track an item's realized volatility over time and permit comparisons between items.

READ MORE
Pest & Disease

Fall Armyworm Arrival and Risk Framework

Fall Armyworms (FAWs) significantly impact the yield of different crops. By combining historical FAW presence data with Gro's climate data, clients can assess the arrival date of FAWs and infestation risk levels once FAWs have arrived.

READ MORE
Yield Forecast

Brazil Corn Yield Forecast Model

Gro’s Brazil Corn Yield Forecast Model provides in-season corn yields at the district, province, and national levels.

READ MORE
Yield Forecast

Argentina Corn Yield Forecast Model

Gro’s Argentina Corn Yield Forecast Model estimates in-season yields at district, province, and national levels.

READ MORE
Yield Forecast

China Corn Yield Forecast Models

Gro’s China Corn Yield Model employs three separate models to track one public and two private data sources.

READ MORE
Yield Forecast

US Soy Yield Forecast Model

Gro’s US Soy Yield Forecast Model predicts the difference between final yield figures and USDA’s June acreage report.

READ MORE
Supply & Demand

Gro Supply Model Forecast Framework

The Gro Supply Forecast Model Framework offers a framework that uses relatively simple methods to forecast supply. The framework can be applied to crop-country pairs in cases where investing in a full-blown machine-learning model is not warranted.

READ MORE
Supply & Demand

US Soy Area-Planted Forecast Model

Predict how much the number of soybean-planted acres will change between the USDA’s June Acreage report and the final numbers being released. Gro’s early projections of final planted area are reported at the county level. Area planted affects production estimates for the upcoming harvest, which will impact regional and global supply and demand balance sheets.

READ MORE
Supply & Demand

US Corn Area-Planted Forecast Model

Gro’s US Corn Area-Planted Forecast Model predicts how much the number of corn-planted acres will change between the USDA’s June Acreage report and the final numbers being released. Gro’s early projections of final planted area are reported at the county level. Area planted affects production estimates for the upcoming harvest, which will impact regional and global supply and demand balance sheets.

READ MORE
Supply & Demand

US Soy Prevent Plant

A forecast model to estimate US soy prevent plant acreage at the county and national levels in advance of USDA FSA release. The model can be replicated every season and across several regions using available historical planting progress reports and geospatial data. Prevent plant affects yield for a given crop and also agricultural input demand. Prevent plant acreage is also a driver for insurance claims.

READ MORE
Supply & Demand

US Corn Prevent Plant

A forecast model to estimate US corn prevent plant acreage at the county and national levels in advance of USDA FSA release. The model can be replicated every season and across several regions using available historical planting progress reports and geospatial data. Prevent plant affects yield for a given crop and also agricultural input demand. Prevent plant acreage is also a driver for insurance claims.

READ MORE
Supply & Demand

US Planting Intentions Model

Gro’s US Planting Intentions Model allows users to project how much crop will be available in the coming year based on producers’ planting intentions for each of the major crops.

READ MORE
Yield Forecast

Kenya Barley Yield Forecast Model

Gro’s Kenya Barley Yield Forecast Model provides machine-learning-based forecasts of end-of-season barley yields.

READ MORE
Yield Forecast

Kenya Millet Yield Forecast Model

Gro’s Kenya Millet Yield Forecast Model provides machine-learning-based forecasts of end-of-season millet yields.

READ MORE
Yield Forecast

Kenya Sorghum Yield Forecast Model

Gro’s Kenya Sorghum Yield Forecast Model provides machine-learning-based forecasts of end-of-season sorghum yields.

READ MORE
Yield Forecast

Kenya Wheat Yield Forecast Model

Gro’s Kenya Wheat Yield Forecast Model provides machine-learning-based forecasts of end-of-season wheat yields.

READ MORE
Yield Forecast

Kenya Corn Yield Forecast Model

Gro’s Kenya Corn Yield Forecast Model provides machine-learning-based forecasts of end-of-season corn yields.

READ MORE
Yield Forecast

Ethiopia Barley Yield Forecast Model

Gro’s Ethiopia Barley Yield Forecast Model provides machine-learning-based forecasts of end-of-season barley yields.

READ MORE
Yield Forecast

Ethiopia Millet Yield Forecast Model

Gro’s Ethiopia Millet Yield Forecast Model provides machine-learning-based forecasts of end-of-season millet yields.

READ MORE
Yield Forecast

Ethiopia Sorghum Yield Forecast Model

Gro’s Ethiopia Sorghum Yield Forecast Model provides machine-learning-based forecasts of end-of-season sorghum yields.

READ MORE
Yield Forecast

Ethiopia Wheat Yield Forecast Model

Gro’s Ethiopia Wheat Yield Forecast Model provides machine-learning-based forecasts of end-of-season wheat yields.

READ MORE
Yield Forecast

Ethiopia Corn Yield Forecast Model

Gro’s Ethiopia Corn Yield Forecast Model provides machine-learning-based forecasts of end-of-season corn yields.

READ MORE
Yield Forecast

Brazil Soy Yield Forecast Model

Gro’s Brazil Soy Yield Forecast Model provides district-level estimates of soy production in the main soy-producing areas.

READ MORE
Yield Forecast

Russia Wheat Yield Forecast Model

Gro’s Russia Winter Wheat model uses a set of environmental inputs to track yields at province level.

READ MORE
Yield Forecast

Ukraine Wheat Yield Forecast Model

Gro’s Ukraine Wheat Yield Forecast Model tracks wheat production across all provinces in the country.

READ MORE
Yield Forecast

US Hard Red Winter Wheat Yield Forecast Model

Gro’s US Hard Red Wheat Yield Forecast Model gives national yield forecasts for hard red winter wheat.

READ MORE
Yield Forecast

India Wheat Yield Forecast Model

Gro’s India Wheat Yield Forecast Model offers in-season yield predictions for wheat at the district, province, and national levels.

READ MORE
Yield Forecast

Argentina Soy Yield Forecast Model

Gro’s Argentina Soy Yield Forecast Model predicts district-level soybean yield, which we then aggregate to the national level.

READ MORE
Yield Forecast

US Corn Yield Forecast Model

Gro’s US Corn Yield Forecast Model gives county-level and national-level forecasts of final corn yield.

READ MORE
Supply & Demand

Brazil São Paulo Sugarcane Crop Model

The São Paulo Sugarcane Crop Model enables users to project total recoverable sugar (TRS) levels in the Brazilian state of São Paulo during the crushing season. By drawing on key environmental variables, this model is capable of predicting TRS, known in Brazil as ATR, in advance of UNICA’s semimonthly reports. Users can therefore get earlier insights on ethanol and sugar availability in the market.

READ MORE
Climate & Weather

Crop Weighted Global Climate Extremes Index

The Gro Climate Extremes Index measures the number of environmental indicators (such as rainfall and temperature) that are currently in either the first or 10th decile of their histories at any given time. The GCEI is applied globally and weighted by crop so that the impact of extreme weather events is tied to specific crop producing regions (e.g. Australia wheat CEI, US corn CEI, etc).

READ MORE
Climate & Weather

Anomaly Detection Tool

Gro’s Anomaly Detection algorithm provides a mechanism for checking large amounts of data and sending alerts when an anomalous event has occurred. Gro provides example code that can be modified to different regions, crops and environmental conditions of interest.

READ MORE
Climate & Weather

Land Suitability Ranking

Land Suitability Rankings identifies regions best suited to growing a given crop. The algorithm uses a combination of soil property and climate data to identify the districts that are most similar to the highest yielding region in the world and ranks them according to similarity.

READ MORE
Climate & Weather

Gro Drought Index

The Gro Drought Index is the world’s first high resolution global agricultural drought index. It differs from traditional indices in that, beyond precipitation, it factors in other ecology-driven indicators that closely track the sequence of events leading to drought, giving a more accurate evaluation of the impact of both drought intensity and duration on agriculture. Agricultural drought impacts crop production, soil degradation, and desertification. Early detection of signals of drought is important to help mitigate these negative consequences.

READ MORE
Price

Competitive Drawing Arc Monitor

The Competitive Drawing Arc Monitor assesses the economics and risk of buying/storing/handling grain in each location across the US and compares economics of different areas of interest. The monitor identifies a center, radius, and crop to determine competing facilities in the drawing arc.

READ MORE
Price

China Ag Price Index

The China Ag Price Index tracks national average prices for a basket of important food commodities, including grains, vegetable oils, fresh produce, and proteins. The index, which updates daily, is based on consumer spending and includes high-frequency local cash price data. Government data on monthly inflation is typically reported in the following month. Gro’s inflation data is available up to six weeks ahead of a government inflation report.

READ MORE
Price

US Ag Price Index

Gro developed two agricultural price indices for the United States. One tracks the US food manufacturing producer price index, providing food and beverage companies insight into their cost base inflation, including energy prices, which are required for manufacturing food. The other is a consumption-weighted basket of prices, excluding commodities influenced by energy markets, that reflects what inflationary trends experienced by consumers. Both indices can be customized and weighted for Gro users based on their commodities of interest.

READ MORE
Price

Stocks-to-Use vs. Price Framework

A framework that creates a basic price valuation model for corn and soybeans during the growing season using US stocks-to-use ratio. The model calculates a “fair value” price estimate based on the historical relationship between the stocks-to-use ratio and prices. A stocks-to-use ratio is a normalized inventory measurement and, therefore, is a helpful tool for analysis over different time periods and of different crops.

READ MORE
Pest & Disease

Brazil Asian Soybean Rust

Asian Soybean Rust (ASR) can cause yield losses of up to 80%. By combining historical ASR presence data and Gro's transition matrix, clients can assess the probability of ASR moving to neighboring regions.

READ MORE
Pest & Disease

Locust Vegetation Impact Model

The Locust Impact Model estimates where locusts have impacted cropland, and the severity of their impact. The model currently covers affected countries in the Horn of Africa, Middle East, and South Asia, but can be generalized to any region of the world.

READ MORE
Pest & Disease

Aflatoxins Risk Index

The Aflatoxin Risk Index is a model framework that looks at the mechanism by which aflatoxins are produced and contaminate corn, including temperature and water activity, to predict aflatoxin contamination risk where the crop is grown.

READ MORE
Supply & Demand

Gro Demand Forecast Framework

The Gro Demand Forecast Framework enables users to forecast demand using relatively simple methods and reasonably accurate estimates. The framework can be applied to any country-crop pairing.

READ MORE
Supply & Demand

China Pork Demand Forecast Model

The China Pork Demand Forecast model is able to predict China's pork consumption for the next year, 10 months before the first estimate released in the USDA's PS&D database and 2.5 years before the USDA releases its final numbers.

READ MORE
Land Cover

India Wheat Land Cover

Gro’s custom Land Covers use geospatial data to identify where a crop is grown. This creates the ability to isolate areas where a specific crop is located when assessing the impact from various environmental data. Gro’s custom Land Covers are developed at a 30-meter resolution and include both low- and high-confidence masks.

READ MORE
Land Cover

US Winter Wheat Land Cover

Gro’s custom Land Covers use geospatial data to identify where a crop is grown. This creates the ability to isolate areas where a specific crop is located when assessing the impact from various environmental data. Gro’s custom Land Covers are developed at a 30-meter resolution and include both low- and high-confidence masks.

READ MORE
Land Cover

Ukraine Winter Wheat Land Cover

Gro’s custom Land Covers use geospatial data to identify where a crop is grown. This creates the ability to isolate areas where a specific crop is located when assessing the impact from various environmental data. Gro’s custom Land Covers are developed at a 30-meter resolution and include both low- and high-confidence masks.

READ MORE
Land Cover

Russia Winter Wheat Land Cover

Gro’s custom Land Covers use geospatial data to identify where a crop is grown. This creates the ability to isolate areas where a specific crop is located when assessing the impact from various environmental data. Gro’s custom Land Covers are developed at a 30-meter resolution and include both low- and high-confidence masks.

READ MORE
Land Cover

Brazil Soy Land Cover

Gro’s custom Land Covers use geospatial data to identify where a crop is grown. This creates the ability to isolate areas where a specific crop is located when assessing the impact from various environmental data. Gro’s custom Land Covers are developed at a 30-meter resolution and include both low- and high-confidence masks.

READ MORE
Land Cover

Argentina Soy Land Cover

Gro’s custom Land Covers use geospatial data to identify where a crop is grown. This creates the ability to isolate areas where a specific crop is located when assessing the impact from various environmental data. Gro’s custom Land Covers are developed at a 30-meter resolution and include both low- and high-confidence masks.

READ MORE
Land Cover

China Corn Land Cover

Gro’s custom Land Covers use geospatial data to identify where a crop is grown. This creates the ability to isolate areas where a specific crop is located when assessing the impact from various environmental data. Gro’s custom Land Covers are developed at a 30-meter resolution and include both low- and high-confidence masks.

READ MORE
Land Cover

US Soy Land Cover

Gro’s custom Land Covers use geospatial data to identify where a crop is grown. This creates the ability to isolate areas where a specific crop is located when assessing the impact from various environmental data. Gro’s custom Land Covers are developed at a 30-meter resolution and include both low- and high-confidence masks.

READ MORE
Land Cover

US Corn Land Cover

Gro’s custom Land Covers use geospatial data to identify where a crop is grown. This creates the ability to isolate areas where a specific crop is located when assessing the impact from various environmental data. Gro’s custom Land Covers are developed at a 30-meter resolution and include both low- and high-confidence masks.

READ MORE